Previsões de preço de seis dígitos de Bitcoin de volta à mesa

A grande correção que os principais analistas haviam previsto ainda não se concretizou à medida que os preços do Bitcoin recuaram para $40k.

Isto resultou na renovação das previsões de preços de seis dígitos para este ciclo de mercado, com alguns sugerindo um máximo de $300.000 desta vez.

No momento em que escrevemos, a Bitcoin estava sendo negociada a $37.900 depois de atingir uma alta intradiária de $40.000 de acordo com o Tradingview.com. O ativo havia começado a cair durante a sessão comercial asiática na sexta-feira e não havia conseguido quebrar sua alta anterior de $42.000, mas o sentimento ainda é muito alto.

A capitalização total do mercado de criptografia ultrapassou um trilhão de dólares novamente, uma vez que alguns dos altcoins, como o Polkadot, fazem ganhos monumentais 24 horas por dia.

Quando será que o Bitcoin vai ultrapassar os 100 mil dólares?

Os comerciantes e analistas populares estão de volta ao jogo de previsão de preços e estão em grande parte de acordo que este ciclo de mercado resultará em preços de seis dígitos de Bitcoin.

Josh Rager disse que ele acha que a Bitcoin terá um preço de seis dígitos até o início de 2022;

Eu sabia que a Bitcoin de seis dígitos acabaria por chegar, mas pensei que seria o próximo ciclo alto.

Após a recente ação de preços, atingindo $40k tão rapidamente, devo dizer que acho que Bitcoin vê um preço de seis dígitos no início de 2022

E esse $BTC continuará a pegar fogo em todo o mundo

– Josh Rager 📈 (@Josh_Rager) 15 de janeiro de 2021

Ele acrescentou que, neste pico, o nome ‚Bitcoin‘ será mencionado em todas as TVs, telefones e tablets do mundo.

„Este pode certamente ser o ciclo que leva o Bitcoin a se tornar um nome doméstico, juntamente com a adoção séria daqueles que uma vez zombaram do dinheiro digital peer-to-peer“.

O companheiro comerciante ‚TraderKoz‘, que tem 28k seguidores no twitter, acrescentou que ele diria que este ciclo nos leva a $250k a $350k.

„A partir daí, temos 3 anos de acumulação na faixa de $60-90k antes que Bitcoin assuma todo o sistema financeiro. Essa corrida de touro nos levará a mais de $1.000.000“.

Michael Saylor, que é a empresa de investimento institucional da MicroStrategy tem comprado grandes faixas de Bitcoin, continua a postar tweets em alta sobre o ativo para seus 330k seguidores;

#Bitcoin é um feito de engenharia monetária, e descrito mais de perto pela matemática, ciência e técnica da engenharia aeroespacial do que os modelos de engenharia financeira ou de software.

– Michael Saylor (@michael_saylor) 14 de janeiro de 2021

O Efeito Institucional

O fornecedor de dados agregados de intercâmbio de derivados Bybit informou que os fluxos institucionais de Bitcoin não estão mostrando sinais de desaceleração, acrescentando que pode haver uma nova rodada de compras por Grayscale.

A própria Grayscale relatou um número de ativos sob gestão (AUM) de US$ 27,7 bilhões em sua atualização mais recente. A empresa também acaba de divulgar seu quarto trimestre revelando que houve uma demanda recorde de investidores no período, com aproximadamente US$ 3,3 bilhões em influxos.

4Q RELATÓRIO: O investimento do ano passado na família de produtos Grayscale ultrapassou US$ 5,7 bilhões, mais de quatro vezes o influxo cumulativo de US$ 1,2 bilhão em nossos produtos de 2013 a 2019. Leia mais. https://t.co/T4sMVQhcDe pic.twitter.com/yuh5qj0GyT

– Grayscale (@Grayscale) 15 de janeiro de 2021

A história causou tanto impacto que até mesmo a Reuters a pegou.

Financial experts (almost) agree – investors migrate from gold to Bitcoin

Due to the current price developments, Bitcoin is shining stronger than gold.

Several financial experts confirm the thesis that Bitcoin’s current climb is partly due to the fact that the cryptocurrency is increasingly contesting gold’s market share as a hedge against inflation.

The gold price lost 4.62% last week, falling to US$1,857, while Bitcoin gained up to 40% last week. Previously, the two stores of value had been moving in lockstep.

However, Charlie Morris, the founder and chief investment officer (CIO) of asset management firm ByteTree Asset Management, no longer sees this as valid. Rather, he relates the size of gold’s downturn to the fact that some investors have arguably migrated to bitcoin.

While other factors may have caused the precious metal to lose US$50, the remaining losses could only be explained by capital being shifted from the precious metal to the market-leading cryptocurrency, Morris writes.

CNBC financial expert and TV host Jim Cramer had already struck a similar note a few days ago when he said that the capital outflows from gold „are all flowing into the crypto market“.

Holger Zschäpitz, the senior economics editor of the WELT, also supports this thesis. He sees initial evidence in the fact that the outflows from gold index funds (ETFs) have gone up at the same time as the inflows into the bitcoin investment fund of the crypto asset management company Grayscale. Even if this is only a correlation, and not a correlation of effects, it can be seen that the precious metal is getting competition.

As young investors play an increasingly important role in the future, the asset class of cryptocurrencies becomes all the more legitimate. Alongside gold as the leading store of value, Bitcoin is also increasingly making a name for itself as a hedge against inflation and an uncertain economic situation. Recent price developments could be the first indication that Bitcoin is slowly gaining the upper hand in the competition for this function.

Frank Spiteri of Coinshares confirms in an interview with Bloomberg that the narrative around Bitcoin as a hedge is gaining momentum „given the very unconventional monetary policies [of central banks]“.

„It seems that the big institutions are all discovering Bitcoin as an independent store of value at the same time,“ he adds.

The experts‘ assessments are further underlined by the fact that this week, for the first time, a Bitcoin currency unit has reached more value than 20 ounces of gold.

Nonetheless, some gold advocates reject this line of reasoning in order to bolster their precious metal. For example, notorious Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff says that investors will return to gold as soon as inflation becomes a real threat to their wealth.

Ethereum (ETH) price: history of its movements

The first Ethereum rally took place between August 2015 and June 2016.

The second rally took place from June 2016 to December 2017.

The historic high of ETH is at $ 1,594

Ethereum (ETH) has grown significantly since March 2020. Unlike Bitcoin System, however, it still has to surpass its all-time high (ATH) of $ 1,594, which it reached in January 2018.

In this article, we’ll compare the previous market cycles for ETH, and see how they can approximate the current upward movement.

The first major rally for ETH took place from August 2015 to June 2016. During this period, the price of ETH went from a low of $ 0.50 to a high of $ 21.49 , which represents an increase of 4,200%. This movement took place over a period of 308 days (shown in green below).

This movement was followed by a 72% drop in 175 days (shown in red), which led to a low of $ 5.92 in December 2016. Nonetheless, this new low still measured an increase of around 1,200% compared to August 2015 prices. This is also a higher low compared to August 2015 prices.

This period marked the first major market cycle for ETH. It also provided its first all-time high which, interestingly, has not been retested since.

ETH’s next significant rally started after the aforementioned low in December 2016. The rally was slightly longer, but with an even higher growth rate.

In 399 days (green), ETH rose 26.840%, reaching a price of $ 1,594 in January 2018. This is its all-time high, which is still valid today

This rally was also different from the previous one as it featured a 140 day period during which the price consolidated before heading for the high of $ 1,594. It is therefore possible to divide this period into two rallies, one which led to the peak of 405 dollars in June 2017 and the other which led to 1,594 dollars.

In all cases, there followed a period of massive correction (in red). ETH fell 95% in 336 days, reaching a low of $ 80.56 in December 2018.

As a result, the second rally represented an even higher rate of increase, but also a stronger and larger correction thereafter.

Schlüsselfaktoren, die Sie genau beobachten sollten, wenn Bitcoin 40.000 US-Dollar klemmt

Bitcoin hat am 7. Januar 40.000 USD gebrochen und damit ein neues Rekordhoch von 40.180 USD erreicht. Nach einer intensiven Preisverweigerung korrigierte Bitcoin System jedoch schnell nach unten. Dies führte dazu, dass der große Bulle zu einem Preis von 36.491 USD schloss.

Bitcoin gewann einen Tag später wieder an Fahrt und testete sein bisheriges Allzeithoch erneut, was dazu führte, dass die Kryptowährung einen weiteren ATH-Preis von 41.946 USD erreichte

Bitcoin wurde erneut abgelehnt und bewegte sich auf das Niveau von 36.838 USD, obwohl Bitcoin immer noch bei 40.000 USD schließen konnte. Offensichtlich nimmt der rückläufige Druck auf 40.000 USD zu, und wenn die Bullen der Hitze nicht standhalten können, könnte Bitcoin weiter nach unten rutschen. Es gibt einige Schlüsselfaktoren, die besonders beachtet werden müssen, wenn Bitcoin den vorherigen Widerstand erneut aufgreift.

Zum Zeitpunkt der Drucklegung wird Bitcoin zu einem Preis von 40.894 USD gehandelt. Das 1-Stunden-Handelschart zeigt, dass die Bullen hartnäckig sind, da Bitcoin es geschafft hat, am oberen Ende des 30.000-Dollar-Niveaus zu bleiben, obwohl Analysten feststellen, dass die Preise fallen und auf das 36.000-Dollar-Unterstützungsniveau zurückkehren könnten.

Schlüsselfaktoren, die genau beobachtet werden müssen, wenn Bitcoin 40.000 US-Dollar einspielt

In der Zwischenzeit ist Crypto-Twitter mit seinen heißen Takes wie gewohnt aktiv. Travis Kling, der Leiter einer Krypto-Vermögensverwaltungsfirma, stellte fest , dass eine massive Preiskorrektur, die er als „schwarzen Freitag“ bezeichnet, den großen Bullenhandel mit 20.000 USD sehr schnell sehen könnte. Dies wird sicherlich zu massiven Rückgängen für bullische Investoren und Händler auf dem Markt führen. Verkäufer können auch weiterhin ohne Unterbrechung verkaufen, was dazu führt, dass Bitcoin noch niedriger handelt.

Ein ähnliches Gefühl teilte der Analyst Joseph Young, der ironischerweise vorausgesagt hatte, dass Bitcoin niemals unter 20.000 USD handeln wird. Der Analyst warnte, dass der laufende BTC-Verkauf von asiatischen Investoren am Wochenende zu einem erheblichen Preisverfall führen könnte.